What are the six sub-metrics in HLTV Rating 3.0?

Kills, Damage, Survival, KAST, Multi-Kills and Round Swing. Kills and Damage are adjusted for the value of the round, Survival rewards staying alive through difficult rounds, KAST is weighted by how likely a round was to matter, and Round Swing measures how much a specific kill shifted the round's win probability.

Why doesn't a high kills-per-round average always mean a player is a good bet for prop totals?

A player can inflate their kill count by mopping up already-decided rounds with low-value kills, which raises the raw stat without reflecting genuine impact. Rating 3.0's Round Swing and economy-adjusted kills specifically correct for this, which is why checking those sub-scores gives a clearer read than the season kills-per-round average alone.

What replaced the old Impact rating in HLTV Rating 3.0?

Its role was split between two new sub-metrics: Round Swing, which measures how much a kill changes win probability for that specific round, and Multi-Kills, a separate sub-rating that credits explosive multi-kill rounds on their own.

HLTV Rating 3.0 for CS2 betting explained (reading the number behind player props)

Last updated: 2026-07-30 · Written by Elena Kovač

HLTV Rating is the single number the CS2 community leans on most to judge a player's actual impact on a match, and the current version, Rating 3.0, is built from six separate sub-metrics rather than kill count alone. Understanding what feeds into that number matters directly for CS2 prop betting, because a player who racks up kills in already-lost rounds looks statistically similar to a genuine impact player on a raw kills-per-round basis, but Rating 3.0 is specifically designed to tell them apart.

The six sub-metrics that make up the number

Rating 3.0 combines Kills, Damage, Survival, KAST, Multi-Kills and Round Swing into one figure, replacing the older single Impact rating that Rating 2.1 relied on. Kills and Damage are adjusted for the value of the round a player is killing in — eliminating an opponent on a fully-bought rifle round counts for more than a pistol-round kill, since it removes a costlier resource from the enemy team. Survival rewards staying alive through difficult rounds more heavily than earlier versions did, and KAST (the percentage of rounds where a player gets a Kill, Assist, Survives, or is Traded) is weighted by how likely that round actually was to matter, rather than treating every round equally.

Round Swing: the metric that replaced raw impact

Round Swing is the newest and most betting-relevant sub-metric — it tracks how much a specific kill shifts a team's win probability for that round, accounting for each side's economy, whether the bomb is planted, and how many players are alive on each team at the moment of the kill. Credit for a kill isn't given only to whoever landed the final point of damage; damage share, flash assists and whether the kill came off a trade all factor into how much Round Swing that specific play generates. This is the mechanism that separates a player racking up meaningless kills in an already-decided round from one whose kills are actually flipping close rounds, which is exactly the distinction raw kill totals miss.

Why raw kills-per-round overrates the wrong players for props

A player averaging a high raw kill count can still be a below-average impact player if a large share of those kills come in rounds their team was already losing decisively — mopping up a lost round with 2-3 low-value kills inflates a box score without genuinely swinging outcomes. Rating 3.0's combination of economy-adjusted kills, Round Swing and impact-weighted KAST is built specifically to correct for this, which is why betting a player kills total purely off a season kills-per-round average, without checking whether their Rating is driven by genuine Round Swing impact or by low-stakes accumulation, misreads the player's actual current form, similar to how CS2 total kills betting explained stresses that series length and role matter more than raw average kills alone.

How to actually use the rating for player props

For player-specific props like kill totals or headshot percentage, checking a player's recent Rating 3.0 trend alongside their underlying Round Swing and Multi-Kill sub-scores gives a clearer read than the single overall number in isolation, since two players can post an identical overall Rating while one earns it through consistent round-deciding impact and the other through raw volume in low-leverage situations. A player whose Round Swing sub-score is trending up while their overall Rating stays flat is often quietly improving in exactly the way that predicts future prop performance before it shows up in the headline number, which is the kind of signal HLTV's own betting analytics section is built to surface for exactly this reason.

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FAQ

What are the six sub-metrics in HLTV Rating 3.0? Kills, Damage, Survival, KAST, Multi-Kills and Round Swing. Kills and Damage are adjusted for the value of the round, Survival rewards staying alive through difficult rounds, KAST is weighted by how likely a round was to matter, and Round Swing measures how much a specific kill shifted the round's win probability.
Why doesn't a high kills-per-round average always mean a player is a good bet for prop totals? A player can inflate their kill count by mopping up already-decided rounds with low-value kills, which raises the raw stat without reflecting genuine impact. Rating 3.0's Round Swing and economy-adjusted kills specifically correct for this, which is why checking those sub-scores gives a clearer read than the season kills-per-round average alone.
What replaced the old Impact rating in HLTV Rating 3.0? Its role was split between two new sub-metrics: Round Swing, which measures how much a kill changes win probability for that specific round, and Multi-Kills, a separate sub-rating that credits explosive multi-kill rounds on their own.

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